Demographic data infrastructure for capital markets

The US fertility signal that arrives 90 days early.

$BIRTH is a monthly index of realized US births, published well ahead of federal releases and built to financial benchmark standards, anchoring DMX's capital markets demographic suite.

Realized Births Index
$BIRTH
Research nowcast
97.42
Index, base = 100 · monthly official print
Base 100 Jan Apr Jul Oct
what this is
Frequency Monthly, ahead of federal data
Basis Realized, not forecast
Access API-first, licensable
Realized births Published methodology Institutional grade Revision-logged
Why this exists

Demographic data built for people who have to be right.

Institutions pricing decades-long liabilities, from pension funds to insurers to labor-intensive corporates, have never had a fertility signal built to the standard their decisions actually require: timely, rigorously governed, and licensable rather than a static report. $BIRTH exists to close that gap, as the anchor of a broader family of indices measuring the forces shaping tomorrow's labor market.

The index is built directly from official state vital records, the same underlying source behind federal birth statistics, reached through direct data partnerships rather than reconstructed from proxies or survey estimates.

What you can rely on
01

Timely

Published well ahead of federal releases, so decisions aren't made on stale numbers.

02

Rigorous

Built to a published methodology with disclosed limitations, not a black box.

03

Audit-ready

Versioned, revision-logged, and governed to a standard built for institutional and regulatory scrutiny.

04

Enterprise integration

API-first delivery built for direct use in Python, R, and Snowflake environments, with the reliability an institutional workflow requires.

Licensing structure

Three tiers. Different capital, different needs.

The tiered model creates distinct asset classes at different price points, from systematic quant funds running daily API calls to regional real estate developers running quarterly board reports.

Tier 01
Raw Index Feed
Starting at $15,000 / yr

Monthly official $BIRTH print plus daily research nowcast via API. National index value and revision log access under institutional-grade security controls. Regional deltas and historical backtest files available as add-ons.

Quant funds · Bloomberg Terminal
Macro economists · Academic research

Tier 03
NLC Suite
Starting at $100,000 / yr

The full Net Labor Capacity family: NLC-5/10/20 scarcity composites, both demand series, the Displacement Realization Ratio, dedicated analyst access, and priority access to new products as they launch.

Macro hedge funds · Sovereign wealth funds
Investment banks · Global pension consultants

The Net Labor Capacity family

Supply, demand, and the net between them.

Supply side

$BIRTH → S-series

Realized births converted into a forward measure of labor supply at five, ten, and twenty year horizons. The clearest read available today on how many workers the economy will actually have.

Series: S(5), S(10), S(20)
Published monthly
Demand side

D-R · D-X · DRR

A forward measure of labor demand as AI reshapes how much work is actually needed, alongside a signal for how much of that shift is showing up in practice rather than projection.

Published monthly
Research and licensed access
Composites

NLC-5 · 10 · 20

Demand relative to supply at each horizon: a forward gauge of labor scarcity, which is to say wage pressure. Above 100, tightening; below 100, surplus.

Base = 100
Monthly official print

DMX quantifies the spread between demographic decline and AI acceleration, turning the world's two largest structural forces into investable intelligence.

Get access

Request the data prospectus or a pilot API key.

Onboarding anchor data clients now. If you're a quant fund, real estate developer, insurer, or institutional investor in the demographic space, reach out directly.